Lille 66%Draw 23%Le Havre 11%Expected goals 1.75 – 0.55
66%
Betarazi pick
Lille to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultLille to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceLille or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Lille vs Le Havre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lille welcome Le Havre to Stade Pierre-Mauroy for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 10 October (16:15 WAT). In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Le Havre are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lille, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Zulte Waregem, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Le Havre, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Toulouse, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lille, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Le Havre.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Lille 1–1 Le Havre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.7 xG, Le Havre 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 66%, draw 23%, Le Havre 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lille to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–0 Le Havre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @4.40
Le Havre11%fair 9.33 · @6.50
2.30Expected goals
1.75Lille xG
0.55Le Havre xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Lille 1.7 – 0.6 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lille to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lille vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Lille have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Le Havre 11%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–0 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Le Havre?
Lille vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
