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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rennes v Auxerre: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Roazhon Park

Rennes

LLDWW
4–1
FT

Auxerre

WWWLL
Rennes 68%Draw 18%Auxerre 14% Expected goals 2.51 – 1.09
68%
Betarazi pick

Rennes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultRennes to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceRennes or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66

Rennes vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rennes welcome Auxerre to Roazhon Park for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 11 October (16:15 WAT). In the table, Rennes are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Rennes, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Laval, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Auxerre, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Clermont Foot, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Auxerre 0–3 Rennes.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rennes 2.5 xG, Auxerre 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rennes 68%, draw 18%, Auxerre 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rennes to win (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rennes 2–1 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rennes68%fair 1.48 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.48 · @4.60
Auxerre14%fair 7.15 · @6.00
3.60Expected goals
2.51Rennes xG
1.09Auxerre xG
62%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Rennes 2.5 – 1.1 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRennes to win ✓68%1.481.40
Double chanceRennes or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.65
Draw no betRennes (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicapRennes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗52%1.94–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
First team to scoreRennes to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultRennes ahead at half-time ✗51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rennes / FT Rennes ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.66–

Recent results

Rennes – last 6

LLDWWW
2 Oct@ Laval0–1L
19 Sep@ Lyon0–4L
16 Sep@ Sturm Graz0–0D
11 Sepvs Marseille1–0W
6 Sep@ Angers2–1W
30 Augvs Le Mans3–2W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Auxerre – last 6

WWWLLL
2 Octvs Clermont Foot4–3W
20 Sepvs Stade Brestois 292–1W
12 Sepvs Nice1–0W
4 Sep@ Lyon1–3L
29 Augvs Angers1–3L
22 Aug@ Lens2–5L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Auxerre v Rennes0–3
Rennes vs Auxerre head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Auxerre?

Our pick is Rennes to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Rennes vs Auxerre?

On our numbers Rennes have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Auxerre 14%.

How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Auxerre?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Auxerre?

Our predicted score is Rennes 2–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Rennes vs Auxerre?

Rennes vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.