Lille 62%Draw 22%Stade Brestois 29 17%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.89
83%
Betarazi pick
Lille or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Lille to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLille to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceLille or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Ligue 1 brings Lille against Stade Brestois 29 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Lille, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Arsenal, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Stade Brestois 29, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Angers, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.9 xG, Stade Brestois 29 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 62%, draw 22%, Stade Brestois 29 17%.
Lower-risk option: Lille or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Lille to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lille or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–0 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille62%fair 1.62 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.75
Stade Brestois 2917%fair 6.04 · @3.80
2.83Expected goals
1.94Lille xG
0.89Stade Brestois 29 xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Lille 1.9 – 0.9 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✗
62%
1.62
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Lille or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.65
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Lille -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Lille to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lille ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
LWWLWL
13 Oct
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Zulte Waregem
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Nice
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Estac Troyes
2–0
W
8 Sep
vs Real Betis
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
WDLLWD
10 Oct
vs Angers
5–1
W
3 Oct
vs Monza
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Auxerre
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Le Havre
2–1
W
29 Aug
vs Toulouse
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Lille or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Lille have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stade Brestois 29 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–0 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
