Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.28
Lyon vs Nice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lyon welcome Nice to Groupama Stadium for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 18 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Nice are 6th (upper half) with 17. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Crystal Palace, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Nice, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Strasbourg, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lyon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nice.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Lyon 2–0 Nice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 1.5 xG, Nice 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 58%, draw 25%, Nice 17%.
Lower-risk option: Lyon or draw (83%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lyon or draw (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 1–0 Nice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon58%fair 1.72 · @1.75
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.75
Nice17%fair 5.85 · @4.20
2.25Expected goals
1.55Lyon xG
0.70Nice xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–011%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Lyon 1.5 – 0.7 Nice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Lyon or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lyon vs Nice?
On our numbers Lyon have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nice 17%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Nice?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Nice?
Our predicted score is Lyon 1–0 Nice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Nice?
Lyon vs Nice (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Groupama Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
