Lens 43%Draw 22%Paris FC 36%Expected goals 1.65 – 1.49
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultLens to win ✓43% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.38
Lens vs Paris FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lens welcome Paris FC to Stade Bollaert-Delelis for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 24 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Paris FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Lens, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Paris FC, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Rennes, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Paris FC, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Lens.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lens 1.7 xG, Paris FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 43%, draw 22%, Paris FC 36%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–1 Paris FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lens43%fair 2.34 · @2.38
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Paris FC36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
3.14Expected goals
1.65Lens xG
1.49Paris FC xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Lens 1.7 – 1.5 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✓
43%
2.34
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.53
Draw no bet
Lens (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Paris FC +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Lens to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.38
–
Recent results
Lens – last 6
LWLWLD
21 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Sporting CP
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Le Mans
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 6
WLWDWW
18 Oct
vs Rennes
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Lorient
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Lyon
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Marseille
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Nice
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Paris FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Lens have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paris FC 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Paris FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Paris FC?
Lens vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
