Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultToulouse to win ✗64% · @1.57
Double chanceToulouse or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Ligue 1 brings Toulouse against Estac Troyes at Stadium Municipal. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Toulouse are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Estac Troyes are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8.
Current form
Toulouse, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Le Mans, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Estac Troyes, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Lens, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Toulouse, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Estac Troyes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toulouse 2.2 xG, Estac Troyes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toulouse 64%, draw 22%, Estac Troyes 14%.
Lower-risk option: Toulouse or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toulouse to win (64%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulouse 2–0 Estac Troyes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toulouse64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Estac Troyes14%fair 7.26 · @5.00
3.14Expected goals
2.18Toulouse xG
0.96Estac Troyes xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Toulouse 2.2 – 1.0 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✗
64%
1.57
1.57
Double chance
Toulouse or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Draw no bet
Toulouse (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Toulouse -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Toulouse to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Toulouse ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Toulouse – last 6
WDWDLD
16 Oct
@ Le Mans
3–0
W
10 Oct
@ Monaco
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Lorient
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Lille
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
LLLLLW
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Toulouse to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Toulouse have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Estac Troyes 14%.
How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Toulouse 2–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Municipal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
