Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 30 October: Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain in the Ligue 1, played at Stade Océane. In the table, Le Havre are 18th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 10 matches; Paris Saint Germain are 1st (leading the league) with 23. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Le Havre, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Marseille, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lyon, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.2 for Le Havre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Havre 0.9 xG, Paris Saint Germain 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Havre 17%, draw 15%, Paris Saint Germain 68%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paris Saint Germain to win (68%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Havre17%fair 6.05 · @9.50
Draw15%fair 6.56 · @6.00
Paris Saint Germain68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
3.00Expected goals
0.88Le Havre xG
2.12Paris Saint Germain xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Le Havre 0.9 – 2.1 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
68%
1.47
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Paris Saint Germain -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Le Havre – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Oct
@ Marseille
3–4
L
18 Oct
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Lille
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Toulouse
2–3
L
12 Sep
vs Angers
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
26 Oct
vs Lyon
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Manchester City
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Le Mans
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Marseille
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Havre and Paris Saint Germain.
What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Le Havre have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Paris Saint Germain 68%.
How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Le Havre 0–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain?
Le Havre vs Paris Saint Germain (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
