Lille 42%Draw 22%Lens 36%Expected goals 1.47 – 1.34
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLille to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Lille vs Lens: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 30 October the Ligue 1 brings Lille against Lens at Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Kick-off: 21:05 WAT. In the table, Lille are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Lens are 11th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Lille, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Monaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Lens, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Paris FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lille 1.5 xG, Lens 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lille 42%, draw 22%, Lens 36%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lille 1–1 Lens. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lille42%fair 2.39 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Lens36%fair 2.81 · @2.62
2.81Expected goals
1.47Lille xG
1.34Lens xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lille 1.5 – 1.3 Lens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lille to win✓
42%
2.39
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Lille (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Lens +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Lille to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lille / FT Lille✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
DLDLWW
25 Oct
@ Monaco
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Galatasaray
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
13 Oct
@ Arsenal
0–3
L
10 Oct
vs Le Havre
1–0
W
2 Oct
vs Zulte Waregem
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lens – last 6
WLWLWL
24 Oct
vs Paris FC
2–1
W
21 Oct
@ Club Brugge KV
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Sporting CP
0–2
L
9 Oct
vs Lyon
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Monaco
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lens.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
On our numbers Lille have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lens 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lens?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lens?
Our predicted score is Lille 1–1 Lens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lille vs Lens?
Lille vs Lens (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 21:05 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
