Lorient v Stade Brestois 29 Prediction & Expected Goals (31 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLorient to win ✗38% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.35

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.60

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Lorient v Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1, played at Stade du Moustoir. In the table, Lorient are 10th, lower half, on 15 points after 10 matches; Stade Brestois 29 are 9th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lorient, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Angers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Stade Brestois 29, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Nice, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lorient, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Stade Brestois 29.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lorient 1.2 xG, Stade Brestois 29 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lorient 38%, draw 23%, Stade Brestois 29 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Stade Brestois 29 to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lorient38%fair 2.60 · @2.45

Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.10

Stade Brestois 2938%fair 2.62 · @2.88

2.44Expected goals

1.22Lorient xG

1.22Stade Brestois 29 xG

57%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Lorient 1.2 – 1.2 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Lorient to win ✗	38%	2.60	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.35
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.75
Draw no bet	Lorient (draw no bet) ✗	50%	1.99	–
Asian handicap	Stade Brestois 29 +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.57	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Lorient to score first ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Lorient / FT Lorient ✗	21%	4.81	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.60	–

Lorient – last 6

DWWLDW

25 Oct	@ Angers	0–0	D
18 Oct	vs Monaco	1–0	W
10 Oct	vs Paris FC	1–0	W
19 Sep	@ Le Mans	1–2	L
12 Sep	vs Toulouse	2–2	D
5 Sep	@ Lens	1–0	W

1.0Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Stade Brestois 29 – last 6

LDWDLL

23 Oct	vs Nice	1–2	L
17 Oct	@ Lille	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs Angers	5–1	W
3 Oct	vs Monza	2–2	D
20 Sep	@ Auxerre	1–2	L
13 Sep	vs Paris Saint Germain	0–1	L

1.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+7	21
3	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Marseille	10	6	0	4	+8	18
5	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+6	17
6	Nice	10	5	2	3	+3	17
7	Monaco	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Rennes	10	5	1	4	0	16
9	Stade Brestois 29	10	4	3	3	+6	15
10	Lorient	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Lens	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	-11	10
15	Le Mans	10	1	5	4	-7	8
16	Angers	10	2	2	6	-10	8
17	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	-10	8
18	Le Havre	10	0	2	8	-13	2

Team

Pts

+12

-4

-11

-7

-10

-10

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

On our numbers Lorient have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stade Brestois 29 38%.

How many goals will there be in Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

Our predicted score is Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lorient v Stade Brestois 29: numbers & prediction