Estac Troyes 38%Draw 22%Le Mans 40%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.52
63%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Le Mans to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLe Mans to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Ligue 1 brings Estac Troyes against Le Mans at Stade de l'Aube. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Estac Troyes are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Le Mans are 15th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estac Troyes, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Toulouse, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Le Mans, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Auxerre, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Le Mans, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Estac Troyes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estac Troyes 1.5 xG, Le Mans 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estac Troyes 38%, draw 22%, Le Mans 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Le Mans to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estac Troyes38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Le Mans40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
3.00Expected goals
1.48Estac Troyes xG
1.52Le Mans xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.5 – 1.5 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Le Mans to win✗
40%
2.52
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Le Mans (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Estac Troyes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Le Mans to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Estac Troyes – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–6
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
DLLWDD
25 Oct
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Le Mans.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Le Mans 40%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Aube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
