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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Paris FC v Monaco: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Jean Bouin
3–1
FT

Monaco

DWLWD
Paris FC 45%Draw 22%Monaco 34% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.13
58%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultParis FC to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50

Paris FC vs Monaco: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Paris FC welcome Monaco to Stade Jean Bouin for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 1 November (17:15 WAT). In the table, Paris FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 10 matches; Monaco are 7th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Paris FC, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Lens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Monaco, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lille, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Paris FC 4–1 Monaco.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Paris FC 1.4 xG, Monaco 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Paris FC 45%, draw 22%, Monaco 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris FC 1–1 Monaco. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Paris FC45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.40
Monaco34%fair 2.98 · @2.90
2.50Expected goals
1.37Paris FC xG
1.13Monaco xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Paris FC 1.4 – 1.1 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultParis FC to win ✓45%2.232.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.65
Draw no betParis FC (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapMonaco +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreParis FC to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Paris FC / FT Paris FC ✓25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.50–

Recent results

Paris FC – last 6

LWLWDW
24 Oct@ Lens1–2L
18 Octvs Rennes4–3W
10 Oct@ Lorient0–1L
19 Sepvs Strasbourg2–1W
12 Sepvs Lyon0–0D
6 Sep@ Marseille3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Monaco – last 6

DWLWDW
25 Octvs Lille1–1D
22 Octvs SC Freiburg3–0W
18 Oct@ Lorient0–1L
15 Oct@ CSKA Sofia2–1W
10 Octvs Toulouse2–2D
18 Sepvs Lens2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Paris FC v Monaco4–1
Paris FC vs Monaco head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Paris FC vs Monaco?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?

On our numbers Paris FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Monaco 34%.

How many goals will there be in Paris FC vs Monaco?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Paris FC vs Monaco?

Our predicted score is Paris FC 1–1 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Paris FC vs Monaco?

Paris FC vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Jean Bouin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.