Auxerre 21%Draw 20%Paris FC 59%Expected goals 1.11 – 2.05
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis FC to win ✓59% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Auxerre vs Paris FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Auxerre welcome Paris FC to Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps for a Ligue 1 fixture on Saturday 7 November (17:15 WAT). In the table, Auxerre are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Paris FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20.
Current form
Auxerre, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Strasbourg, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Paris FC, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Monaco, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Auxerre 1.1 xG, Paris FC 2.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Auxerre 21%, draw 20%, Paris FC 59%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Auxerre21%fair 4.87 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.00
Paris FC59%fair 1.68 · @1.73
3.16Expected goals
1.11Auxerre xG
2.05Paris FC xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Auxerre 1.1 – 2.0 Paris FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris FC to win✓
59%
1.68
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Draw no bet
Paris FC (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Auxerre +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
First team to score
Paris FC to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Paris FC ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris FC / FT Paris FC✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Auxerre – last 6
LDWLWW
1 Nov
@ Strasbourg
1–5
L
25 Oct
vs Le Mans
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Le Havre
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Rennes
1–4
L
2 Oct
vs Clermont Foot
4–3
W
20 Sep
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Paris FC – last 6
WLWLWD
1 Nov
vs Monaco
3–1
W
24 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Rennes
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Lorient
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Strasbourg
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Lyon
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Auxerre and Paris FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
On our numbers Auxerre have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris FC 59%.
How many goals will there be in Auxerre vs Paris FC?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Our predicted score is Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Auxerre vs Paris FC (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
