Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓75% · @1.14
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓94% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:45 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Paris Saint Germain v Estac Troyes in the Ligue 1, played at Parc des Princes. In the table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Estac Troyes are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Villarreal, away. The attack is flying at 4.0 goals per game.
Estac Troyes, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Le Mans, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.7 for Estac Troyes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris Saint Germain 2.6 xG, Estac Troyes 0.7 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris Saint Germain 75%, draw 19%, Estac Troyes 6%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris Saint Germain75%fair 1.33 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @8.00
Estac Troyes6%fair 17.26 · @17.00
3.36Expected goals
2.62Paris Saint Germain xG
0.74Estac Troyes xG
53%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–09%
2–19%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.6 – 0.7 Estac Troyes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
75%
1.33
1.14
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
94%
1.06
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
93%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
Paris Saint Germain -1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
3 Nov
@ Villarreal
6–0
W
30 Oct
@ Le Havre
5–1
W
26 Oct
vs Lyon
2–0
W
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Manchester City
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Estac Troyes – last 6
WDLLLL
31 Oct
vs Le Mans
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Lille
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Estac Troyes.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Estac Troyes 6%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
