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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karlberg v IK brage: numbers & prediction

Svenska Cupen · Sweden

Karlberg

WLWWW
2–0
FT

IK brage

DLWDL
Karlberg 15%Draw 23%IK brage 63% Expected goals 0.54 – 1.50
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.53Odds
U2.5

Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.30 – our chance 54% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultIK brage to win ✗63% · @1.55
Double chanceIK brage or draw ✗85% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.69

Karlberg vs IK brage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IK brage travel to face Karlberg on Tuesday 18 August in the Svenska Cupen – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Karlberg, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stocksund, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

IK brage, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Orebro SK, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Karlberg, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for IK brage.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karlberg 0.5 xG, IK brage 1.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karlberg 15%, draw 23%, IK brage 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karlberg 0–1 IK brage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karlberg15%fair 6.87 · @4.80
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @4.00
IK brage63%fair 1.60 · @1.55
2.04Expected goals
0.54Karlberg xG
1.50IK brage xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–120%
0–215%
0–013%
1–110%
1–28%
0–37%

From our goals model: Karlberg 0.5 – 1.5 IK brage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIK brage to win ✗63%1.601.55
Double chanceIK brage or draw ✗85%1.171.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.57
Draw no betIK brage (draw no bet) ✗81%1.23–
Asian handicapIK brage -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.872.30 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.53 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreIK brage to score first ✗64%1.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT IK brage / FT IK brage ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.69–

Recent results

Karlberg – last 6

WLWWWW
15 Augvs Stocksund2–0W
7 Aug@ Enköping1–2L
1 Aug@ Stocksund2–0W
25 Jul@ AFC Eskilstuna2–1W
21 Jul@ Sollentuna2–1W
24 Junvs Piteå3–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

IK brage – last 6

DLWDLL
14 Augvs Orebro SK3–3D
8 Aug@ IFK Norrkoping0–3L
1 Augvs Landskrona BoIS2–1W
25 Jul@ IFK Varnamo0–0D
18 Jul@ Osters IF2–3L
26 Junvs Falkenbergs FF2–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Karlberg and IK brage.

Karlberg vs IK brage head-to-head page →

More Svenska Cupen predictions

League hub
FT Böljan0 Varbergs BoIS FC5 114%6.25X17%4.80269%1.36 1.4–3.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Sollentuna1 Orebro SK4 117%4.80X21%3.95262%1.57 1.4–2.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 ✓
FT AFC Eskilstuna3 Oddevold3 Pens 6–7 115%4.10X21%4.00263%1.65 0.8–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.70 ✗
FT Västra Frölunda0 IF Elfsborg4 15%51.00X17%9.00278%1.03 1.2–3.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.36 ✓
FT IFK Skövde1 Falkenbergs FF1 Pens 4–3 113%7.40X21%4.75265%1.33 0.6–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karlberg vs IK brage?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Karlberg vs IK brage?

On our numbers Karlberg have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and IK brage 63%.

How many goals will there be in Karlberg vs IK brage?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs IK brage?

Our predicted score is Karlberg 0–1 IK brage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Karlberg vs IK brage?

Karlberg vs IK brage (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.