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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Västra Frölunda v IF Elfsborg: numbers & prediction

Svenska Cupen · Sweden

Västra Frölunda

LDLWD
0–4
FT

IF Elfsborg

WWWLL
Västra Frölunda 5%Draw 17%IF Elfsborg 78% Expected goals 1.18 – 3.58
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 4.50 – our chance 54% vs 22% implied by the price (edge +143%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIF Elfsborg to win ✓78% · @1.03
Double chanceIF Elfsborg or draw ✓95% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @4.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.95

Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IF Elfsborg travel to face Västra Frölunda on Tuesday 18 August in the Svenska Cupen – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.

Current form

Västra Frölunda, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Kongahälla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

IF Elfsborg, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vasteras SK FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours IF Elfsborg, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Västra Frölunda.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Västra Frölunda 1.2 xG, IF Elfsborg 3.6 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Västra Frölunda 5%, draw 17%, IF Elfsborg 78%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 4.50.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @4.50 – the bookmaker implies 22%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.30, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Västra Frölunda 1–3 IF Elfsborg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Västra Frölunda5%fair 19.23 · @51.00
Draw17%fair 6.01 · @9.00
IF Elfsborg78%fair 1.28 · @1.03
4.76Expected goals
1.18Västra Frölunda xG
3.58IF Elfsborg xG
54%Both score
77%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–38%
1–47%
0–37%
1–26%
0–46%
0–25%

From our goals model: Västra Frölunda 1.2 – 3.6 IF Elfsborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIF Elfsborg to win ✓78%1.281.03
Double chanceIF Elfsborg or draw ✓95%1.05–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.864.50 ▲
Draw no betIF Elfsborg (draw no bet) ✓94%1.07–
Asian handicapIF Elfsborg -1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77%1.301.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓59%1.691.93 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓59%1.691.33
First team to scoreIF Elfsborg to score first ✓75%1.34–
Half-time resultIF Elfsborg ahead at half-time ✓63%1.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT IF Elfsborg / FT IF Elfsborg ✓59%1.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8%12.95–

Recent results

Västra Frölunda – last 6

LDLWDD
14 Aug@ Kongahälla0–4L
8 Augvs Hestrafor3–3D
31 Jul@ Böljan1–2L
24 Junvs Qviding FIF5–0W
18 Jun@ Torslanda1–1D
14 Junvs Böljan1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

IF Elfsborg – last 6

WWWLLL
14 Augvs Vasteras SK FK3–0W
8 Aug@ Mjallby AIF1–0W
26 Jul@ Malmo FF2–1W
19 Julvs Sirius1–3L
12 Jul@ Gais0–1L
5 Julvs Hammarby FF1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Västra Frölunda and IF Elfsborg.

Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg head-to-head page →

More Svenska Cupen predictions

League hub
FT Böljan0 Varbergs BoIS FC5 114%6.25X17%4.80269%1.36 1.4–3.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 75%@1.33 ✓
FT Sollentuna1 Orebro SK4 117%4.80X21%3.95262%1.57 1.4–2.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.22 ✓
FT AFC Eskilstuna3 Oddevold3 Pens 6–7 115%4.10X21%4.00263%1.65 0.8–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 63%@1.70 ✗
FT Karlberg2 IK brage0 115%4.80X23%4.00263%1.55 0.5–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.53 ✓
FT IFK Skövde1 Falkenbergs FF1 Pens 4–3 113%7.40X21%4.75265%1.33 0.6–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.85 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg?

On our numbers Västra Frölunda have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 17% and IF Elfsborg 78%.

How many goals will there be in Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg?

We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg?

Our predicted score is Västra Frölunda 1–3 IF Elfsborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.

When is Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg?

Västra Frölunda vs IF Elfsborg (Svenska Cupen) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.