Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa in the Ekstraklasa, played at Exbud Arena. In the table, Korona Kielce are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Korona Kielce, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Jagiellonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Zaglebie Lubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.0 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 31%, draw 27%, Legia Warszawa 42%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 0–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korona Kielce31%fair 3.19 · @2.76
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.30
Legia Warszawa42%fair 2.38 · @2.48
2.30Expected goals
1.00Korona Kielce xG
1.30Legia Warszawa xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.0 – 1.3 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
42%
2.38
2.48
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.75
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.09
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.81
–
Recent results
Korona Kielce – last 6
LLDDWD
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
9 Jul
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Zemplín Michalovce
4–0
W
23 May
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WWLWWW
2 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Aris
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
14 Jul
vs Radomiak Radom
3–1
W
10 Jul
vs AS Trencin
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Legia Warszawa 42%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 0–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa?
Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
