Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✓45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Pogon Szczecin v Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa, played at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera. In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cracovia Krakow, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Motor Lublin, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Jagiellonia, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Pogon Szczecin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.5 xG, Motor Lublin 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 45%, draw 24%, Motor Lublin 31%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogon Szczecin45%fair 2.24 · @2.02
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.65
Motor Lublin31%fair 3.19 · @3.35
2.86Expected goals
1.54Pogon Szczecin xG
1.33Motor Lublin xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.5 – 1.3 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogon Szczecin to win✓
45%
2.24
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
Pogon Szczecin (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
First team to score
Pogon Szczecin to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogon Szczecin / FT Pogon Szczecin✓
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Pogon Szczecin – last 6
WLLLWL
3 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
2–0
W
24 Jul
vs Legia Warszawa
0–1
L
15 Jul
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Fenerbahçe
0–4
L
8 Jul
vs Chrobry Głogów
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
LDWWWW
31 Jul
vs Jagiellonia
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Widzew Łódź
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Hapoel Katamon
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
3 Jul
vs Warta Poznań
4–1
W
27 Jun
vs Dinamo Bucuresti
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogon Szczecin and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Motor Lublin 31%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
