Value bet: Korona Kielce to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKorona Kielce to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Motor Lublin travel to face Korona Kielce on Saturday 22 August in the Ekstraklasa, with Exbud Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Korona Kielce are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Korona Kielce, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Widzew Łódź, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Motor Lublin, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over GKS Katowice, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.7 xG, Motor Lublin 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 56%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 22%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Korona Kielce to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 1–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korona Kielce56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.70
Motor Lublin22%fair 4.55 · @3.65
2.73Expected goals
1.75Korona Kielce xG
0.98Motor Lublin xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.7 – 1.0 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korona Kielce to win✗
56%
1.78
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.62
Draw no bet
Korona Kielce (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
First team to score
Korona Kielce to score first
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Recent results
Korona Kielce – last 6
WDLLDD
15 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
9 Jul
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
WLLDWW
16 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–3
L
31 Jul
vs Jagiellonia
1–2
L
26 Jul
@ Widzew Łódź
2–2
D
17 Jul
vs Hapoel Katamon
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Polonia Warszawa
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Motor Lublin 22%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin?
Korona Kielce vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
