Piast Gliwice 33%Draw 21%Legia Warszawa 46%Expected goals 1.50 – 1.80
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✗46% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Ekstraklasa brings Piast Gliwice against Legia Warszawa at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Piast Gliwice are 7th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Piast Gliwice, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Wieczysta Kraków, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Radomiak Radom, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Piast Gliwice.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Piast Gliwice 1.5 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Piast Gliwice 33%, draw 21%, Legia Warszawa 46%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Piast Gliwice33%fair 3.03 · @3.30
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Legia Warszawa46%fair 2.19 · @2.06
3.31Expected goals
1.50Piast Gliwice xG
1.80Legia Warszawa xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Piast Gliwice 1.5 – 1.8 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Legia Warszawa to win✗
46%
2.19
2.06
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Legia Warszawa (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Piast Gliwice +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.12
First team to score
Legia Warszawa to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Piast Gliwice – last 6
LLWLLD
15 Aug
vs Wieczysta Kraków
3–4
L
9 Aug
@ Lech Poznan
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Wisla Krakow
4–3
W
27 Jul
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Odra Opole
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Miedz Legnica
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Legia Warszawa – last 6
WDWWLW
14 Aug
vs Radomiak Radom
5–0
W
8 Aug
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Zaglebie Lubin
3–1
W
24 Jul
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Aris
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Piast Gliwice and Legia Warszawa.
What is the prediction for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Piast Gliwice have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Legia Warszawa 46%.
How many goals will there be in Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Piast Gliwice 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?
Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
