Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 3.05 – our chance 42% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓42% · @3.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.71
Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa welcome Gornik Zabrze to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Thursday 3 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Jagiellonia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to GKS Katowice, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Gornik Zabrze 3–1 Raków Częstochowa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.6 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 37%, draw 21%, Gornik Zabrze 42%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Gornik Zabrze to win @3.05 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa37%fair 2.71 · @2.18
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.50
Gornik Zabrze42%fair 2.39 · @3.05
3.33Expected goals
1.61Raków Częstochowa xG
1.72Gornik Zabrze xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.6 – 1.7 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gornik Zabrze 42%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze?
Raków Częstochowa vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
