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Gornik Zabrze v GKS Katowice: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
2–3
FT
Gornik Zabrze 56%Draw 23%GKS Katowice 21% Expected goals 2.06 – 1.23
79%
Betarazi pick

Gornik Zabrze or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✗56% · @1.91
Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gornik Zabrze welcome GKS Katowice to Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 30 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Gornik Zabrze are 2nd, among the top four, on 31 points after 14 matches; GKS Katowice are 8th (upper half) with 21.

Current form

Gornik Zabrze, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Monaco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

GKS Katowice, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Wisla Plock, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours GKS Katowice, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Gornik Zabrze.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gornik Zabrze 2.1 xG, GKS Katowice 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gornik Zabrze 56%, draw 23%, GKS Katowice 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gornik Zabrze or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Gornik Zabrze to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gornik Zabrze or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gornik Zabrze 2–1 GKS Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gornik Zabrze56%fair 1.79 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
GKS Katowice21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
3.29Expected goals
2.06Gornik Zabrze xG
1.23GKS Katowice xG
62%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Gornik Zabrze 2.1 – 1.2 GKS Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGornik Zabrze to win ✗56%1.791.91 ▲
Double chanceGornik Zabrze or draw ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.631.57
Draw no betGornik Zabrze (draw no bet) ✗72%1.38–
Asian handicapGKS Katowice +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
First team to scoreGornik Zabrze to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultGornik Zabrze ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze ✗36%2.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.28–

Recent results

Gornik Zabrze – last 6

LLWDWL
27 Aug@ Monaco1–4L
20 Augvs Monaco2–3L
16 Augvs Wisla Krakow2–1W
13 Augvs Ferencvarosi TC1–1D
8 Aug@ Radomiak Radom3–1W
5 Aug@ Ferencvarosi TC0–1L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

GKS Katowice – last 6

WLWLWW
23 Augvs Wisla Plock5–0W
16 Aug@ Motor Lublin0–1L
12 Augvs Hapoel Tel Aviv2–1W
6 Aug@ Hapoel Tel Aviv0–2L
2 Augvs Radomiak Radom3–1W
30 Julvs Žilina3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gornik Zabrze and GKS Katowice.

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?

Our pick is Gornik Zabrze or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?

On our numbers Gornik Zabrze have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and GKS Katowice 21%.

How many goals will there be in Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?

Our predicted score is Gornik Zabrze 2–1 GKS Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice?

Gornik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.