Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.10 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJagiellonia to win ✓40% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa welcome Jagiellonia to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 30 August (13:45 WAT). In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Jagiellonia are 9th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with HNK Hajduk Split, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Jagiellonia, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Iberia 1999, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Jagiellonia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Raków Częstochowa.
Head to head
When they last met (13 May 2026) it ended Raków Częstochowa 0–2 Jagiellonia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.2 xG, Jagiellonia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 39%, draw 21%, Jagiellonia 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa39%fair 2.57 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
Jagiellonia40%fair 2.52 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.24Raków Częstochowa xG
1.26Jagiellonia xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.2 – 1.3 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia 40%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia?
Raków Częstochowa vs Jagiellonia (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
