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Motor Lublin v Piast Gliwice: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Motor Lublin Arena
0–2
FT
Motor Lublin 43%Draw 21%Piast Gliwice 36% Expected goals 1.70 – 1.53
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultMotor Lublin to win ✗43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 29 August the Ekstraklasa brings Motor Lublin against Piast Gliwice at Motor Lublin Arena. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Piast Gliwice are 7th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Motor Lublin, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Korona Kielce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Piast Gliwice, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Legia Warszawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Piast Gliwice.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Piast Gliwice 1–2 Motor Lublin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.7 xG, Piast Gliwice 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 43%, draw 21%, Piast Gliwice 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.55.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Piast Gliwice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motor Lublin43%fair 2.32 · @2.28
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.65
Piast Gliwice36%fair 2.78 · @2.78
3.24Expected goals
1.70Motor Lublin xG
1.53Piast Gliwice xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.7 – 1.5 Piast Gliwice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMotor Lublin to win ✗43%2.322.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.571.55
Draw no betMotor Lublin (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapPiast Gliwice +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.48
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.18
First team to scoreMotor Lublin to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Motor Lublin / FT Motor Lublin ✗25%3.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Motor Lublin – last 6

DWLLDW
22 Aug@ Korona Kielce1–1D
16 Augvs GKS Katowice1–0W
8 Aug@ Pogon Szczecin1–3L
31 Julvs Jagiellonia1–2L
26 Jul@ Widzew Łódź2–2D
17 Julvs Hapoel Katamon2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Piast Gliwice – last 6

DLLWLL
22 Augvs Legia Warszawa1–1D
15 Augvs Wieczysta Kraków3–4L
9 Aug@ Lech Poznan0–3L
1 Augvs Wisla Krakow4–3W
27 Jul@ Zaglebie Lubin0–2L
18 Julvs Odra Opole0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Feb 2026Piast Gliwice v Motor Lublin1–2
Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piast Gliwice 36%.

How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Piast Gliwice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.