Value bet: Pogon Szczecin to win @ 2.66 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPogon Szczecin to win ✗42% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:15 WAT, Saturday 29 August: Zaglebie Lubin v Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa, played at KGHM Zaglebie Arena. In the table, Zaglebie Lubin are 6th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Pogon Szczecin are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Radomiak Radom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wisla Krakow, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zaglebie Lubin, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Pogon Szczecin.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Pogon Szczecin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zaglebie Lubin 1.3 xG, Pogon Szczecin 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zaglebie Lubin 37%, draw 22%, Pogon Szczecin 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Pogon Szczecin to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Pogon Szczecin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zaglebie Lubin37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Pogon Szczecin42%fair 2.40 · @2.66
2.62Expected goals
1.26Zaglebie Lubin xG
1.36Pogon Szczecin xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Zaglebie Lubin 1.3 – 1.4 Pogon Szczecin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
On our numbers Zaglebie Lubin have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pogon Szczecin 42%.
How many goals will there be in Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
Our predicted score is Zaglebie Lubin 1–1 Pogon Szczecin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin?
Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at KGHM Zaglebie Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
