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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jagiellonia v Wisla Plock: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku
1–0
FT
Jagiellonia 43%Draw 22%Wisla Plock 36% Expected goals 1.45 – 1.30
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2

Value bet: Wisla Plock to win @ 3.40 – our chance 36% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia to win ✓43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Jagiellonia welcome Wisla Plock to Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 25 October (14:45 WAT). In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Wisla Plock are 12th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Jagiellonia, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Anderlecht, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Wisla Plock, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Radomiak Radom, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Wisla Plock, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Jagiellonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.5 xG, Wisla Plock 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 43%, draw 22%, Wisla Plock 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Wisla Plock to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla Plock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jagiellonia43%fair 2.34 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Wisla Plock36%fair 2.79 · @3.40
2.75Expected goals
1.45Jagiellonia xG
1.30Wisla Plock xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.5 – 1.3 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia to win ✓43%2.342.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.57
Draw no betJagiellonia (draw no bet) ✓54%1.84–
Asian handicapWisla Plock +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
First team to scoreJagiellonia to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia ✗24%4.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.45–

Recent results

Jagiellonia – last 6

LLWLLL
22 Octvs Anderlecht0–3L
18 Oct@ Zaglebie Lubin0–1L
15 Octvs Ararat-Armenia3–1W
10 Octvs Gornik Zabrze1–3L
3 Octvs Polonia Warszawa1–2L
20 Sepvs Legia Warszawa1–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wisla Plock – last 6

WLWWWD
19 Octvs Radomiak Radom1–0W
9 Oct@ Wieczysta Kraków0–3L
2 Octvs Unia Skierniewice3–1W
20 Sep@ Zaglebie Lubin2–0W
13 Sepvs Cracovia Krakow3–1W
7 Sep@ Pogon Szczecin1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jagiellonia and Wisla Plock.

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wisla Plock 36%.

How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock?

Jagiellonia vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.