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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Legia Warszawa v Lech Poznan: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Wojska Polskiego
1–2
FT
Legia Warszawa 37%Draw 22%Lech Poznan 41% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.65
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultLech Poznan to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.61

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Legia Warszawa welcome Lech Poznan to Stadion Wojska Polskiego for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Lech Poznan are 1st (leading the league) with 32.

Current form

Legia Warszawa, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cracovia Krakow, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Lech Poznan, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sunderland, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 1.5 xG, Lech Poznan 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 37%, draw 22%, Lech Poznan 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Legia Warszawa37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Lech Poznan41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.54Legia Warszawa xG
1.65Lech Poznan xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.5 – 1.6 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLech Poznan to win ✓41%2.442.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.57
Draw no betLech Poznan (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapLegia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
First team to scoreLech Poznan to score first49%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓38%2.62–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%11.61–

Recent results

Legia Warszawa – last 6

DWWDWL
17 Oct@ Cracovia Krakow1–1D
11 Octvs Wisla Krakow2–0W
20 Sep@ Jagiellonia3–1W
13 Sepvs Widzew Łódź1–1D
5 Sep@ Motor Lublin3–2W
1 Sep@ Motor Lublin0–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Lech Poznan – last 6

DWLWDW
22 Octvs Sunderland1–1D
18 Octvs Korona Kielce6–1W
15 Octvs Bayer Leverkusen0–4L
10 Oct@ Slask Wroclaw4–1W
3 Octvs Energie Cottbus2–2D
20 Sepvs Radomiak Radom5–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznan.

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lech Poznan 41%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?

Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.