Legia Warszawa 37%Draw 22%Lech Poznan 41%Expected goals 1.54 – 1.65
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓41% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.61
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Legia Warszawa welcome Lech Poznan to Stadion Wojska Polskiego for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 25 October (17:30 WAT). In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Lech Poznan are 1st (leading the league) with 32.
Current form
Legia Warszawa, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cracovia Krakow, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Lech Poznan, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sunderland, at home. 3.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 1.5 xG, Lech Poznan 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 37%, draw 22%, Lech Poznan 41%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 1–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Legia Warszawa37%fair 2.73 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
Lech Poznan41%fair 2.44 · @2.50
3.19Expected goals
1.54Legia Warszawa xG
1.65Lech Poznan xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.5 – 1.6 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
41%
2.44
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Legia Warszawa +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Legia Warszawa – last 6
DWWDWL
17 Oct
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Wisla Krakow
2–0
W
20 Sep
@ Jagiellonia
3–1
W
13 Sep
vs Widzew Łódź
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
3–2
W
1 Sep
@ Motor Lublin
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
DWLWDW
22 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Energie Cottbus
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Radomiak Radom
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Legia Warszawa and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lech Poznan 41%.
How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan?
Legia Warszawa vs Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.