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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kozuv Gevgelija v Novaci: numbers & prediction

Second League · Macedonia
0–1
FT

Novaci

WWLDL
Kozuv Gevgelija 48%Draw 22%Novaci 30% Expected goals 1.44 – 1.06
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultKozuv Gevgelija to win ✗48% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.43

Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Kozuv Gevgelija welcome Novaci for a Second League fixture on Saturday 19 September (14:45 WAT). In the table, Kozuv Gevgelija are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Novaci are 11th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Kozuv Gevgelija, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Osogovo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Novaci, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Detonit Plachkovica, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Novaci 1–0 Kozuv Gevgelija.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kozuv Gevgelija 1.4 xG, Novaci 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kozuv Gevgelija 48%, draw 22%, Novaci 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kozuv Gevgelija 1–1 Novaci. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kozuv Gevgelija48%fair 2.07 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Novaci30%fair 3.33 · @3.10
2.50Expected goals
1.44Kozuv Gevgelija xG
1.06Novaci xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Kozuv Gevgelija 1.4 – 1.1 Novaci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKozuv Gevgelija to win ✗48%2.072.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.90–
Draw no betKozuv Gevgelija (draw no bet) ✗62%1.62–
Asian handicapNovaci +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreKozuv Gevgelija to score first ✗53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kozuv Gevgelija / FT Kozuv Gevgelija ✗27%3.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.43–

Recent results

Kozuv Gevgelija – last 6

WLDLWL
13 Sep@ Osogovo1–0W
9 Sepvs Skopje0–1L
5 Sepvs Belasica2–2D
30 Aug@ Ohrid1–5L
22 Augvs Shkupi 19272–0W
15 Aug@ FK Rabotnicki0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Novaci – last 6

WWLDLL
13 Sepvs Detonit Plachkovica3–1W
9 Sepvs Ohrid1–0W
5 Sep@ Kamjani0–1L
29 Aug@ Osogovo0–0D
22 Augvs Belasica0–1L
15 Aug@ Ohrid1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Jul 2026Novaci v Kozuv Gevgelija1–0
Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci head-to-head page →

Second League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ohrid11911+2028
2Pelister11740+1825
3FK Rabotnicki10802+1624
4Akademija Pandev10532+1118
5Kamjani11524-317
6Teteks11443+516
7Belasica11371+216
8Kozuv Gevgelija11353-314
9Makedonija GjP11335-412
10Detonit Plachkovica11335-812
11Novaci11326-611
12Gorno Lisiče11146-77
13Osogovo11146-87
14Shkupi 1927110011-330

More Second League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?

On our numbers Kozuv Gevgelija have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Novaci 30%.

How many goals will there be in Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?

Our predicted score is Kozuv Gevgelija 1–1 Novaci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci?

Kozuv Gevgelija vs Novaci (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.