Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pelister to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPelister to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chancePelister or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.30
Pelister vs Ohrid: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Pelister v Ohrid in the Second League. In the table, Pelister are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 11 matches; Ohrid are 1st (leading the league) with 28. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pelister, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Shkupi 1927, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ohrid, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gorno Lisiče, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pelister 1.8 xG, Ohrid 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pelister 63%, draw 22%, Ohrid 15%.
Lower-risk option: Pelister or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Price worth noting: Pelister to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pelister or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pelister 1–0 Ohrid. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pelister63%fair 1.58 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Ohrid15%fair 6.60 · @3.75
2.59Expected goals
1.83Pelister xG
0.76Ohrid xG
45%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pelister 1.8 – 0.8 Ohrid expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pelister to win✓
63%
1.58
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Pelister or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Pelister (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Pelister -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Pelister to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Pelister ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pelister / FT Pelister✓
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.30
–
Recent results
Pelister – last 6
WWWWDD
13 Sep
@ Shkupi 1927
4–0
W
6 Sep
vs FK Rabotnicki
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ Studenicani
6–1
W
29 Aug
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Akademija Pandev
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Kamjani
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ohrid – last 6
WLWWWL
13 Sep
vs Gorno Lisiče
2–1
W
9 Sep
@ Novaci
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Teteks
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Kozuv Gevgelija
5–1
W
15 Aug
vs Novaci
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Novaci
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pelister and Ohrid.
Our pick is Pelister or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pelister vs Ohrid?
On our numbers Pelister have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ohrid 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pelister vs Ohrid?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pelister vs Ohrid?
Our predicted score is Pelister 1–0 Ohrid, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pelister vs Ohrid?
Pelister vs Ohrid (Second League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
