Value bet: Oriental to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFenix to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Fenix vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fenix welcome Oriental to Parque Capurro for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 20 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fenix, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Oriental, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Fenix 1–0 Oriental.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.3 xG, Oriental 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 42%, draw 27%, Oriental 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Oriental to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fenix42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Oriental31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
2.46Expected goals
1.32Fenix xG
1.15Oriental xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.3 – 1.1 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fenix
Oriental
Attack vs Segunda División average
-4%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.19
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fenix vs Oriental?
On our numbers Fenix have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oriental 31%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Oriental?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Oriental?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Oriental?
Fenix vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.