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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fenix v Oriental: numbers & prediction

Segunda División · Uruguay · Parque Capurro

Fenix

DWDDL
2–2
FT
Fenix 42%Draw 27%Oriental 31% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.15
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Oriental to win @ 3.40 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFenix to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Fenix vs Oriental: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Fenix welcome Oriental to Parque Capurro for a Segunda División fixture on Saturday 20 June (17:00 WAT). In the table, Fenix are 11th, lower half, on 31 points after 25 matches; Oriental are 6th (upper half) with 34. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fenix, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Colón, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Oriental, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Rentistas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Fenix 1–0 Oriental.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fenix 1.3 xG, Oriental 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fenix 42%, draw 27%, Oriental 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Oriental to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fenix 1–1 Oriental. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fenix42%fair 2.39 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.10
Oriental31%fair 3.20 · @3.40
2.46Expected goals
1.32Fenix xG
1.15Oriental xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fenix 1.3 – 1.1 Oriental expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

FenixOriental
Attack vs Segunda División average-4%+10%
Goals conceded vs average+7%+2%
Our expected goals here1.281.19

Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFenix to win ✗42%2.392.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.871.91
Draw no betFenix (draw no bet)57%1.75–
Asian handicapOriental +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.461.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreFenix to score first ✗49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fenix / FT Fenix ✗23%4.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Fenix – last 6

DWDDLW
13 Jun@ Colón1–1D
6 Junvs CA River Plate3–1W
31 Mayvs Rentistas1–1D
25 May@ Miramar1–1D
17 Mayvs Tacuarembo1–2L
3 Mayvs Oriental1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Oriental – last 6

WDWLDL
14 Junvs Rentistas3–0W
8 Jun@ Miramar2–2D
1 Junvs Tacuarembo2–0W
22 May@ Plaza Colonia1–3L
18 Mayvs La Luz0–0D
3 May@ Fenix0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Fenix v Oriental1–0
Fenix vs Oriental head-to-head page →

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Oriental6411+313
2Plaza Colonia6330+712
3Fenix6321+611
4Sportivo Huracan6240+310
5Colón6231+39
6Uruguay Montevideo6231+29
7Rentistas6231+19
8Cerrito623109
9La Luz6141-17
10Miramar6123-45
11Paysandu6114-34
12Atenas6114-64
13CA River Plate6114-74
14Tacuarembo6033-43

More Segunda División predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fenix vs Oriental?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fenix vs Oriental?

On our numbers Fenix have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Oriental 31%.

How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Oriental?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Oriental?

Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Oriental, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fenix vs Oriental?

Fenix vs Oriental (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.