Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Paysandu to win @ 3.65 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTacuarembo to win ✓43% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.11
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paysandu travel to face Tacuarembo on Saturday 20 June in the Segunda División – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Tacuarembo are 13th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 25 matches; Paysandu are 5th (upper half) with 35.
Current form
Tacuarembo, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sportivo Huracan, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Paysandu, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Plaza Colonia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tacuarembo 1.1 xG, Paysandu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tacuarembo 43%, draw 27%, Paysandu 30%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Paysandu to win @3.65 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tacuarembo 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tacuarembo43%fair 2.35 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.10
Paysandu30%fair 3.34 · @3.65
2.24Expected goals
1.14Tacuarembo xG
1.09Paysandu xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Tacuarembo 1.1 – 1.1 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
Attack vs Segunda División average
-28%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.92
1.17
Our own ratings from every Segunda División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tacuarembo to win✓
43%
2.35
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Draw no bet
Tacuarembo (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Tacuarembo to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tacuarembo / FT Tacuarembo✓
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.11
–
Recent results
Tacuarembo – last 6
LWLWWL
13 Jun
@ Sportivo Huracan
1–2
L
7 Jun
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
1 Jun
@ Oriental
0–2
L
24 May
vs Colón
2–0
W
17 May
@ Fenix
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Atenas
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 6
LWLDLW
14 Jun
vs Plaza Colonia
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ La Luz
2–1
W
30 May
vs Cerrito
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Plaza Colonia
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Rentistas
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Miramar
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tacuarembo and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Tacuarembo have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Paysandu 30%.
How many goals will there be in Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Tacuarembo 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Tacuarembo vs Paysandu?
Tacuarembo vs Paysandu (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
