Value bet: Semendrija 1924 to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNapredak to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Napredak vs Semendrija 1924: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Monday 21 September: Napredak v Semendrija 1924 in the Prva Liga. In the table, Napredak are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 17 matches; Semendrija 1924 are 6th (upper half) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Napredak, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to OFK Vršac, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Semendrija 1924, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napredak 1.3 xG, Semendrija 1924 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napredak 42%, draw 23%, Semendrija 1924 35%.
Price worth noting: Semendrija 1924 to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napredak 1–1 Semendrija 1924. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napredak42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.10
Semendrija 192435%fair 2.85 · @3.20
2.47Expected goals
1.31Napredak xG
1.16Semendrija 1924 xG
46%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.3 – 1.2 Semendrija 1924 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napredak to win✗
42%
2.38
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Draw no bet
Napredak (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Semendrija 1924 +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Napredak to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napredak / FT Napredak✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.02
–
Recent results
Napredak – last 6
LLWLLD
16 Sep
vs OFK Vršac
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Jedinstvo Ub
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Javor
0–3
L
23 Aug
vs TSC Backa Topola
1–2
L
19 Aug
@ Teleoptik
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Semendrija 1924 – last 6
WLLDDD
16 Sep
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Jedinstvo Ub
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Javor
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ TSC Backa Topola
1–1
D
24 Aug
vs Teleoptik
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Metalac GM
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Semendrija 1924.
What is the prediction for Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
On our numbers Napredak have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Semendrija 1924 35%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–1 Semendrija 1924, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs Semendrija 1924?
Napredak vs Semendrija 1924 (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
