Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Loznica to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNapredak to win ✓38% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Napredak vs Loznica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Monday 5 October: Napredak v Loznica in the Prva Liga. In the table, Napredak are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 17 matches; Loznica are 11th (lower half) with 20.
Current form
Napredak, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with FK Vozdovac, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Loznica, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Loznica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Napredak.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napredak 1.3 xG, Loznica 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napredak 38%, draw 24%, Loznica 38%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Loznica to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napredak 1–1 Loznica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napredak38%fair 2.63 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.90
Loznica38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.59Expected goals
1.30Napredak xG
1.29Loznica xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Napredak 1.3 – 1.3 Loznica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napredak to win✓
38%
2.63
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Draw no bet
Napredak (draw no bet)✓
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Loznica +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Napredak to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napredak / FT Napredak✓
21%
4.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
Napredak – last 6
DLLLWL
29 Sep
@ FK Vozdovac
0–0
D
21 Sep
vs Semendrija 1924
1–4
L
16 Sep
vs OFK Vršac
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Jedinstvo Ub
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Javor
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Loznica – last 6
WWDLDW
28 Sep
vs FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2–0
W
21 Sep
@ Jedinstvo Ub
3–2
W
17 Sep
vs Javor
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ TSC Backa Topola
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Teleoptik
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Metalac GM
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napredak and Loznica.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Napredak vs Loznica?
On our numbers Napredak have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Loznica 38%.
How many goals will there be in Napredak vs Loznica?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napredak vs Loznica?
Our predicted score is Napredak 1–1 Loznica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napredak vs Loznica?
Napredak vs Loznica (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
