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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

TSC Backa Topola v Grafičar: numbers & prediction

Prva Liga · Serbia · TSC Arena
4–1
FT
TSC Backa Topola 71%Draw 18%Grafičar 11% Expected goals 2.24 – 0.76
71%
Betarazi pick

TSC Backa Topola to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Picks by market

ResultTSC Backa Topola to win ✓71% · @1.29
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52

TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Grafičar travel to face TSC Backa Topola on Monday 5 October in the Prva Liga, with TSC Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, TSC Backa Topola are 3rd, among the top four, on 34 points after 17 matches; Grafičar are 14th (in the drop zone) with 17. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

TSC Backa Topola, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Borac Cacak, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Grafičar, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Teleoptik, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours TSC Backa Topola, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Grafičar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give TSC Backa Topola 2.2 xG, Grafičar 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – TSC Backa Topola 71%, draw 18%, Grafičar 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was TSC Backa Topola to win (71%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Grafičar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

TSC Backa Topola71%fair 1.41 · @1.29
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.00
Grafičar11%fair 8.96 · @8.00
3.00Expected goals
2.24TSC Backa Topola xG
0.76Grafičar xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%

From our goals model: TSC Backa Topola 2.2 – 0.8 Grafičar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTSC Backa Topola to win ✓71%1.411.29
Double chanceTSC Backa Topola or draw ✓89%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.75
Draw no betTSC Backa Topola (draw no bet) ✓86%1.16–
Asian handicapTSC Backa Topola -1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreTSC Backa Topola to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultTSC Backa Topola ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT TSC Backa Topola / FT TSC Backa Topola ✓47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.52–

Recent results

TSC Backa Topola – last 6

DDDWWD
26 Sep@ Borac Cacak2–2D
21 Sepvs Dubočica0–0D
16 Sep@ Naftagas1–1D
12 Sepvs Loznica4–0W
7 Sep@ FK Vozdovac3–2W
30 Augvs Semendrija 19241–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Grafičar – last 6

WLWLLL
28 Sepvs Teleoptik4–1W
21 Sep@ Metalac GM0–1L
17 Sepvs OFK Bor 19193–0W
12 Sep@ OFK Vršac1–4L
5 Sep@ Borac Cacak1–2L
31 Augvs Dubočica1–4L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between TSC Backa Topola and Grafičar.

TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar head-to-head page →

Prva Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Borac Cacak171133+1036
2Javor17971+2034
3TSC Backa Topola17971+1834
4OFK Vršac17935+530
5Dubočica17755026
6Semendrija 192417746025
7Napredak17746-125
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV17656-323
9Naftagas17575+622
10FK Vozdovac17557020
11Loznica17485-420
12Metalac GM17548-619
13Jedinstvo Ub17539-618
14Grafičar175210-517
15Teleoptik17359-914
16OFK Bor 1919172213-258

More Prva Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?

Our pick is TSC Backa Topola to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?

On our numbers TSC Backa Topola have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Grafičar 11%.

How many goals will there be in TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?

Our predicted score is TSC Backa Topola 2–0 Grafičar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar?

TSC Backa Topola vs Grafičar (Prva Liga) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at TSC Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.