MTK Budapest 49%Draw 23%Kecskeméti TE 28%Expected goals 2.04 – 1.74
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMTK Budapest to win ✗49% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.09
MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kecskeméti TE travel to face MTK Budapest on Saturday 4 July in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT.
Current form
MTK Budapest, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vasas, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Kecskeméti TE, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Soroksar, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MTK Budapest 2.0 xG, Kecskeméti TE 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MTK Budapest 49%, draw 23%, Kecskeméti TE 28%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.70 – the bookmaker implies 59%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: MTK Budapest 2–1 Kecskeméti TE. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MTK Budapest49%fair 2.03 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.70
Kecskeméti TE28%fair 3.64 · @4.10
3.78Expected goals
2.04MTK Budapest xG
1.74Kecskeméti TE xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: MTK Budapest 2.0 – 1.7 Kecskeméti TE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
MTK Budapest
Kecskeméti TE
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+12%
+5%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
+17%
Our expected goals here
1.92
2.00
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MTK Budapest to win✗
49%
2.03
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
MTK Budapest (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Kecskeméti TE +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
MTK Budapest to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
MTK Budapest ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT MTK Budapest / FT MTK Budapest✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.09
–
Recent results
MTK Budapest – last 6
WWLDLD
1 Jul
vs Vasas
3–1
W
26 Jun
vs Kazincbarcikai
4–2
W
2 May
vs Nyiregyhaza
1–2
L
24 Apr
@ Kazincbarcikai
0–0
D
20 Mar
vs Paks
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gyori ETO FC
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kecskeméti TE – last 6
LWLWDL
17 May
@ Soroksar
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Szentlőrinc SE
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Csakvar
1–6
L
9 Mar
@ Budapest Honved
1–0
W
3 Mar
@ Gyori ETO FC
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Fehérvár FC
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MTK Budapest and Kecskeméti TE.
What is the prediction for MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE?
On our numbers MTK Budapest have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kecskeméti TE 28%.
How many goals will there be in MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE?
Our predicted score is MTK Budapest 2–1 Kecskeméti TE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE?
MTK Budapest vs Kecskeméti TE (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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