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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Heracles v Groningen: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Heracles

LLLLD
2–1
FT

Groningen

LWWDL
Heracles 38%Draw 20%Groningen 42% Expected goals 2.07 – 1.71
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Heracles to win @ 3.60 – our chance 38% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultGroningen to win ✗42% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.48

Heracles vs Groningen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Heracles welcome Groningen for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Wednesday 8 July (18:00 WAT).

Current form

Heracles, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Groningen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Groningen, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ajax, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Groningen, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Heracles.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Heracles 1–2 Groningen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Heracles 2.1 xG, Groningen 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Heracles 38%, draw 20%, Groningen 42%.
  • Price worth noting: Heracles to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Heracles 2–1 Groningen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Heracles38%fair 2.66 · @3.60
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @4.00
Groningen42%fair 2.36 · @1.70
3.78Expected goals
2.07Heracles xG
1.71Groningen xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%

From our goals model: Heracles 2.1 – 1.7 Groningen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

HeraclesGroningen
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+11%-18%
Goals conceded vs average+15%-3%
Our expected goals here2.591.43

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGroningen to win ✗42%2.361.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betGroningen (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapGroningen +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.481.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗52%1.92–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
First team to scoreHeracles to score first54%1.87–
Half-time resultHeracles ahead at half-time ✗37%2.68–
Half-time / full-timeHT Heracles / FT Heracles ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%14.48–

Recent results

Heracles – last 6

LLLLDL
17 Mayvs Groningen1–2L
3 May@ PEC Zwolle0–1L
26 Aprvs FC Volendam0–2L
5 Apr@ Heerenveen1–4L
20 Marvs Excelsior1–1D
15 Mar@ AZ Alkmaar0–4L
0.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Groningen – last 6

LWWDLL
21 May@ Ajax0–2L
17 May@ Heracles2–1W
22 Marvs AZ Alkmaar3–0W
13 Mar@ PEC Zwolle1–1D
1 Mar@ FC Volendam2–3L
22 Feb@ Twente1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Heracles v Groningen1–2
Heracles vs Groningen head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT Budapest Honved2 Soroksar0 157%1.55X22%3.90222%4.60 2.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Aalborg2 Randers FC2 131%3.30X22%3.65247%1.85 1.8–2.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 53%@1.50 ✗
FT Kolding IF1 Vendsyssel FF0 139%2.60X24%3.40237%2.30 1.6–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 56%@1.73 ✗
FT NEC Nijmegen2 MSV Duisburg3 158%1.38X21%4.33221%6.25 1.8–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 61%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Heracles vs Groningen?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Heracles vs Groningen?

On our numbers Heracles have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Groningen 42%.

How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Groningen?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Groningen?

Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Groningen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Heracles vs Groningen?

Heracles vs Groningen (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Wednesday 8 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.