Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Étoile Carouge to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultÉtoile Carouge to win ✗56% · @1.90
Double chanceÉtoile Carouge or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:30 WAT, Friday 21 August: Stade Nyonnais v Étoile Carouge in the Challenge League, played at Colovray Sports Centre. In the table, Stade Nyonnais are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Étoile Carouge are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Stade Nyonnais, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Amical Saint-Prex, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Étoile Carouge, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Collex-Bossy, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Étoile Carouge, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Stade Nyonnais.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Étoile Carouge 0–0 Stade Nyonnais.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stade Nyonnais 0.9 xG, Étoile Carouge 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Nyonnais 21%, draw 23%, Étoile Carouge 56%.
Lower-risk option: Étoile Carouge or draw (79%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Étoile Carouge to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Étoile Carouge or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Nyonnais 0–1 Étoile Carouge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stade Nyonnais21%fair 4.87 · @3.35
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Étoile Carouge56%fair 1.78 · @1.90
2.64Expected goals
0.93Stade Nyonnais xG
1.71Étoile Carouge xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Stade Nyonnais 0.9 – 1.7 Étoile Carouge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Our pick is Étoile Carouge or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
On our numbers Stade Nyonnais have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Étoile Carouge 56%.
How many goals will there be in Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Our predicted score is Stade Nyonnais 0–1 Étoile Carouge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais vs Étoile Carouge (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Colovray Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
