Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStade Lausanne-Ouchy to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.16
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Challenge League brings Neuchatel Xamax FC against Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neuchatel Xamax FC, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Meyrin, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 8–1 win over Italien, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.1 xG, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neuchatel Xamax FC 23%, draw 21%, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 56%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neuchatel Xamax FC23%fair 4.35 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.55
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
2.88Expected goals
1.07Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.81Stade Lausanne-Ouchy xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–06%
1–36%
From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 1.1 – 1.8 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to win✓
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.40
Draw no bet
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Neuchatel Xamax FC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.28
First team to score
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy to score first✓
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy / FT Stade Lausanne-Ouchy✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Meyrin
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Étoile Carouge
1–0
W
31 Jul
@ FC WIL 1900
2–1
W
24 Jul
vs SC Kriens
3–2
W
11 Jul
@ Lausanne
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs FC Sion
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy – last 6
WWDWWL
16 Aug
@ Italien
8–1
W
7 Aug
vs Rapperswil
2–0
W
1 Aug
@ FC Aarau
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Stade Nyonnais
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ FC Zurich
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Servette FC
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neuchatel Xamax FC and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy.
What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 56%.
How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy?
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
