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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Neuchatel Xamax FC v Rapperswil: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland
0–3
FT
Neuchatel Xamax FC 58%Draw 21%Rapperswil 21% Expected goals 2.16 – 1.22
79%
Betarazi pick

Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultNeuchatel Xamax FC to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceNeuchatel Xamax FC or draw ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 18 September the Challenge League brings Neuchatel Xamax FC against Rapperswil. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Neuchatel Xamax FC are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Rapperswil are 9th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Neuchatel Xamax FC, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Stade Nyonnais, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Rapperswil, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Yverdon Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Momentum favours Rapperswil, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Neuchatel Xamax FC.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Rapperswil 2–3 Neuchatel Xamax FC. The last 2 head-to-heads: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 wins, Rapperswil 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.2 xG, Rapperswil 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Neuchatel Xamax FC 58%, draw 21%, Rapperswil 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw (79%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: Neuchatel Xamax FC to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw (79%, odds 1.30 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–1 Rapperswil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Neuchatel Xamax FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.80
Rapperswil21%fair 4.86 · @3.30
3.38Expected goals
2.16Neuchatel Xamax FC xG
1.22Rapperswil xG
68%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Neuchatel Xamax FC 2.2 – 1.2 Rapperswil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNeuchatel Xamax FC to win ✗58%1.721.85 ▲
Double chanceNeuchatel Xamax FC or draw ✗79%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗68%1.471.36
Draw no betNeuchatel Xamax FC (draw no bet) ✗74%1.35–
Asian handicapRapperswil +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
First team to scoreNeuchatel Xamax FC to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultNeuchatel Xamax FC ahead at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Neuchatel Xamax FC / FT Neuchatel Xamax FC ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Neuchatel Xamax FC – last 6

WLLLLD
11 Sep@ Stade Nyonnais3–1W
4 Sep@ FC Winterthur0–4L
1 Sepvs Yverdon Sport1–2L
28 Aug@ FC Aarau1–2L
21 Augvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1–2L
15 Aug@ Meyrin0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Rapperswil – last 6

WLDLLW
11 Sepvs Yverdon Sport2–0W
4 Sep@ FC Aarau2–3L
1 Sepvs SC Kriens1–1D
28 Aug@ Étoile Carouge1–2L
21 Augvs FC Winterthur0–2L
15 Aug@ YF Juventus6–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Rapperswil v Neuchatel Xamax FC2–3
15 Mar 2026Neuchatel Xamax FC v Rapperswil3–2
Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil?

Our pick is Neuchatel Xamax FC or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil?

On our numbers Neuchatel Xamax FC have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rapperswil 21%.

How many goals will there be in Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil?

Our predicted score is Neuchatel Xamax FC 2–1 Rapperswil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil?

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.