FC Winterthur 49%Draw 21%FC Aarau 30%Expected goals 1.81 – 1.38
68%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Winterthur to win ✓49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.75
FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Winterthur welcome FC Aarau for a Challenge League fixture on Friday 18 September (19:15 WAT). In the table, FC Winterthur are 2nd, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
FC Winterthur, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Étoile Carouge, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Aarau, last 5: DWDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SC Kriens, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours FC Winterthur, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for FC Aarau.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Winterthur 1.8 xG, FC Aarau 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Winterthur 49%, draw 21%, FC Aarau 30%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Winterthur 1–1 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Winterthur49%fair 2.06 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.50
FC Aarau30%fair 3.28 · @2.80
3.19Expected goals
1.81FC Winterthur xG
1.38FC Aarau xG
68%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC Winterthur 1.8 – 1.4 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Winterthur to win✓
49%
2.06
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
FC Winterthur (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
FC Aarau +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
FC Winterthur to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Winterthur / FT FC Winterthur✗
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
FC Winterthur – last 6
WWDDWW
11 Sep
@ Étoile Carouge
1–0
W
4 Sep
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
4–0
W
1 Sep
@ Stade Nyonnais
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1–1
D
21 Aug
@ Rapperswil
2–0
W
15 Aug
@ Zürich City
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Aarau – last 6
DWDWLD
12 Sep
vs SC Kriens
2–2
D
4 Sep
vs Rapperswil
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ FC WIL 1900
2–2
D
28 Aug
vs Neuchatel Xamax FC
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Yverdon Sport
1–2
L
16 Aug
@ Biel-Bienne
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Winterthur and FC Aarau.
What is the prediction for FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?
On our numbers FC Winterthur have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Aarau 30%.
How many goals will there be in FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?
Our predicted score is FC Winterthur 1–1 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau?
FC Winterthur vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
