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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Étoile Carouge v Yverdon Sport: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland · Stade de la Fontenette
0–2
FT
Étoile Carouge 34%Draw 21%Yverdon Sport 45% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.31
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultYverdon Sport to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77

Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Étoile Carouge welcome Yverdon Sport to Stade de la Fontenette for a Challenge League fixture on Friday 9 October (19:15 WAT). In the table, Étoile Carouge are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Yverdon Sport are 3rd (among the top four) with 23.

Current form

Étoile Carouge, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to SC Kriens, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Yverdon Sport, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Grasshoppers, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Yverdon Sport, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Étoile Carouge.

Head to head

When they last met (31 Jul 2026) it ended Yverdon Sport 1–1 Étoile Carouge. The last 3 head-to-heads: Étoile Carouge 1 win, Yverdon Sport 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 4.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Étoile Carouge 1.1 xG, Yverdon Sport 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Étoile Carouge 34%, draw 21%, Yverdon Sport 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Étoile Carouge 1–1 Yverdon Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Étoile Carouge34%fair 2.96 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Yverdon Sport45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
2.39Expected goals
1.08Étoile Carouge xG
1.31Yverdon Sport xG
60%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Étoile Carouge 1.1 – 1.3 Yverdon Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultYverdon Sport to win ✓45%2.222.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.44
Draw no betYverdon Sport (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapÉtoile Carouge +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreYverdon Sport to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Yverdon Sport / FT Yverdon Sport ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.77–

Recent results

Étoile Carouge – last 6

LLDLWD
18 Sep@ SC Kriens1–4L
11 Sepvs FC Winterthur0–1L
4 Sepvs FC WIL 19001–1D
1 Sep@ Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–3L
28 Augvs Rapperswil2–1W
21 Aug@ Stade Nyonnais0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Yverdon Sport – last 6

WDLWWD
2 Oct@ Grasshoppers3–2W
20 Sepvs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0–0D
11 Sep@ Rapperswil0–2L
6 Sepvs Stade Nyonnais4–1W
1 Sep@ Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1W
28 Augvs FC WIL 19001–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 Jul 2026Yverdon Sport v Étoile Carouge1–1
3 May 2026Yverdon Sport v Étoile Carouge3–5
20 Feb 2026Étoile Carouge v Yverdon Sport2–2
Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?

On our numbers Étoile Carouge have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Yverdon Sport 45%.

How many goals will there be in Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?

Our predicted score is Étoile Carouge 1–1 Yverdon Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport?

Étoile Carouge vs Yverdon Sport (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Fontenette.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.