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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau: numbers & prediction

Challenge League · Switzerland · Colovray Sports Centre
2–1
FT
Stade Nyonnais 16%Draw 19%FC Aarau 66% Expected goals 1.01 – 2.27
66%
Betarazi pick

FC Aarau to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Aarau to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✗84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 9 October the Challenge League brings Stade Nyonnais against FC Aarau at Colovray Sports Centre. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Stade Nyonnais are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; FC Aarau are 6th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Stade Nyonnais, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to FC WIL 1900, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

FC Aarau, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to BSC Young Boys, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Aarau, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Stade Nyonnais.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Aug 2026) it ended FC Aarau 2–1 Stade Nyonnais. The last 3 head-to-heads: Stade Nyonnais 0 wins, FC Aarau 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stade Nyonnais 1.0 xG, FC Aarau 2.3 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 64% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stade Nyonnais 16%, draw 19%, FC Aarau 66%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Aarau or draw (84%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FC Aarau to win (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stade Nyonnais 1–2 FC Aarau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stade Nyonnais16%fair 6.39 · @5.00
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
FC Aarau66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
3.28Expected goals
1.01Stade Nyonnais xG
2.27FC Aarau xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–210%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Stade Nyonnais 1.0 – 2.3 FC Aarau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Aarau to win ✗66%1.531.44
Double chanceFC Aarau or draw ✗84%1.191.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.53
Draw no betFC Aarau (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapFC Aarau -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓58%1.71–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.31–
First team to scoreFC Aarau to score first66%1.50–
Half-time resultFC Aarau ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Aarau / FT FC Aarau ✗43%2.33–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Stade Nyonnais – last 6

LLLDLD
18 Sep@ FC WIL 19000–5L
11 Sepvs Neuchatel Xamax FC1–3L
6 Sep@ Yverdon Sport1–4L
1 Sepvs FC Winterthur2–2D
28 Aug@ SC Kriens0–3L
21 Augvs Étoile Carouge0–0D
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

FC Aarau – last 6

LLDWDW
2 Octvs BSC Young Boys1–2L
18 Sep@ FC Winterthur1–2L
12 Sepvs SC Kriens2–2D
4 Sepvs Rapperswil3–2W
31 Aug@ FC WIL 19002–2D
28 Augvs Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Aug 2026FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais2–1
8 May 2026FC Aarau v Stade Nyonnais5–1
20 Feb 2026Stade Nyonnais v FC Aarau1–1
Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau head-to-head page →

Challenge League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Lausanne-Ouchy13940+2231
2FC Winterthur13742+1525
3Yverdon Sport13652+923
4SC Kriens13544+319
5Neuchatel Xamax FC13526-417
6FC Aarau13436-515
7Étoile Carouge13355-514
8FC WIL 190013355-614
9Rapperswil13328-811
10Stade Nyonnais13229-218

More Challenge League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?

Our pick is FC Aarau to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?

On our numbers Stade Nyonnais have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Aarau 66%.

How many goals will there be in Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?

Our predicted score is Stade Nyonnais 1–2 FC Aarau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau?

Stade Nyonnais vs FC Aarau (Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Colovray Sports Centre.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.