Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Basel 1893 to win ✓54% · @1.77
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC Thun travel to face FC Basel 1893 on Sunday 9 August in the Super League, with St. Jakob-Park the venue – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT. In the table, FC Basel 1893 are 7th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; FC Thun are 8th (lower half) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Basel 1893, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lausanne, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
FC Thun, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vikingur Reykjavik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Basel 1893 2.0 xG, FC Thun 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Basel 1893 54%, draw 20%, FC Thun 27%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Basel 1893 2–1 FC Thun. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Basel 189354%fair 1.87 · @1.77
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.10
FC Thun27%fair 3.74 · @3.80
3.54Expected goals
2.02FC Basel 1893 xG
1.52FC Thun xG
68%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
2–06%
From our goals model: FC Basel 1893 2.0 – 1.5 FC Thun expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Basel 1893 to win✓
54%
1.87
1.77
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.42
Draw no bet
FC Basel 1893 (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
FC Thun +1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
First team to score
FC Basel 1893 to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
FC Basel 1893 ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Basel 1893 / FT FC Basel 1893✓
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
FC Basel 1893 – last 6
LWDDLW
1 Aug
vs Lausanne
0–1
L
25 Jul
@ Servette FC
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Juventus
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs FC Winterthur
2–2
D
8 Jul
vs Yverdon Sport
0–3
L
26 Jun
@ Rapperswil
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FC Thun – last 6
WLDWDL
6 Aug
vs Vikingur Reykjavik
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs BSC Young Boys
0–6
L
28 Jul
@ Dinamo Zagreb
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ FC Luzern
3–1
W
21 Jul
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Waldhof Mannheim
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Basel 1893 and FC Thun.
What is the prediction for FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun?
On our numbers FC Basel 1893 have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Thun 27%.
How many goals will there be in FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun?
Our predicted score is FC Basel 1893 2–1 FC Thun, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun?
FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at St. Jakob-Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
