FC ST. Gallen 55%Draw 21%FC Luzern 24%Expected goals 2.17 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC ST. Gallen to win ✗55% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FC ST. Gallen welcome FC Luzern to Kybunpark for a Super League fixture on Sunday 9 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, FC ST. Gallen are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; FC Luzern are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
FC ST. Gallen, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sheriff Tiraspol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
FC Luzern, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Sion, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FC ST. Gallen, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for FC Luzern.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC ST. Gallen 2.2 xG, FC Luzern 1.4 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC ST. Gallen 55%, draw 21%, FC Luzern 24%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Luzern. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC ST. Gallen55%fair 1.81 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.95
FC Luzern24%fair 4.13 · @3.45
3.53Expected goals
2.17FC ST. Gallen xG
1.37FC Luzern xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 2.2 – 1.4 FC Luzern expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC ST. Gallen to win✗
55%
1.81
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.38
Draw no bet
FC ST. Gallen (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
FC Luzern +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
First team to score
FC ST. Gallen to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
FC ST. Gallen ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC ST. Gallen / FT FC ST. Gallen✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
FC ST. Gallen – last 6
WWLWWL
6 Aug
@ Sheriff Tiraspol
3–1
W
2 Aug
@ FC Vaduz
3–2
W
30 Jul
@ Benfica
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs FC Zurich
2–1
W
23 Jul
vs Benfica
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Norwich
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
FC Luzern – last 6
LLLWWW
2 Aug
@ FC Sion
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs FC Thun
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs St. Truiden
1–2
L
10 Jul
@ FC WIL 1900
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs FC Winterthur
3–2
W
27 Jun
vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC ST. Gallen and FC Luzern.
What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern?
On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Luzern 24%.
How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern?
Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 2–1 FC Luzern, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern?
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
