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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Kybunpark
5–0
FT
FC ST. Gallen 39%Draw 20%FC Lugano 41% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.77
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: FC Lugano to win @ 2.62 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Lugano to win ✗41% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.17

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC ST. Gallen welcome FC Lugano to Kybunpark for a Super League fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:00 WAT). In the table, FC ST. Gallen are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 13 matches; FC Lugano are 1st (leading the league) with 34. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC ST. Gallen, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Servette FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

FC Lugano, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Kauno Žalgiris, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours FC Lugano, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.2 for FC ST. Gallen.

Head to head

When they last met (16 Sep 2026) it ended FC Lugano 4–1 FC ST. Gallen. The last 3 head-to-heads: FC ST. Gallen 1 win, FC Lugano 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.3 goals and saw GG land 3 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC ST. Gallen 1.7 xG, FC Lugano 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC ST. Gallen 39%, draw 20%, FC Lugano 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: FC Lugano to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC ST. Gallen39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.90
FC Lugano41%fair 2.42 · @2.62
3.49Expected goals
1.72FC ST. Gallen xG
1.77FC Lugano xG
67%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: FC ST. Gallen 1.7 – 1.8 FC Lugano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✗41%2.422.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.501.50
Draw no betFC Lugano (draw no bet) ✗51%1.95–
Asian handicapFC ST. Gallen +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.501.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.831.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗73%1.371.28
First team to scoreFC Lugano to score first ✗49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.76–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✗24%4.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.17–

Recent results

FC ST. Gallen – last 6

WLWWDW
31 Octvs Servette FC2–1W
24 Oct@ BSC Young Boys0–2L
16 Oct@ Rapperswil2–0W
11 Octvs Lausanne1–0W
3 Oct@ Brühl3–3D
20 Sep@ FC Basel 18933–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Lugano – last 6

WWWWWW
5 Novvs Kauno Žalgiris3–0W
1 Novvs FC Basel 18932–1W
25 Oct@ FC Thun3–2W
22 Oct@ Getafe5–2W
18 Oct@ Pully Football4–0W
15 Octvs FK Crvena Zvezda3–2W
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

16 Sep 2026FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen4–1
10 May 2026FC Lugano v FC ST. Gallen1–2
17 Mar 2026FC ST. Gallen v FC Lugano1–1
FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

On our numbers FC ST. Gallen have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Lugano 41%.

How many goals will there be in FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

Our predicted score is FC ST. Gallen 1–1 FC Lugano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano?

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Kybunpark.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.