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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FC Thun v FC Basel 1893: numbers & prediction

Super League · Switzerland · Stockhorn Arena

FC Thun

WWLLD
3–3
FT
FC Thun 43%Draw 20%FC Basel 1893 37% Expected goals 1.96 – 1.82
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: FC Basel 1893 to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFC Thun to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Basel 1893 travel to face FC Thun on Sunday 8 November in the Super League, with Stockhorn Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, FC Thun are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; FC Basel 1893 are 7th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FC Thun, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Heart Of Midlothian, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

FC Basel 1893, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Lugano, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours FC Thun, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for FC Basel 1893.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended FC Basel 1893 4–2 FC Thun.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Thun 2.0 xG, FC Basel 1893 1.8 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Thun 43%, draw 20%, FC Basel 1893 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.36.
  • Price worth noting: FC Basel 1893 to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Thun 2–1 FC Basel 1893. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Thun43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.00
FC Basel 189337%fair 2.67 · @3.00
3.77Expected goals
1.96FC Thun xG
1.82FC Basel 1893 xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
3–25%

From our goals model: FC Thun 2.0 – 1.8 FC Basel 1893 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Thun to win ✗43%2.322.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.36
Draw no betFC Thun (draw no bet)54%1.87–
Asian handicapFC Basel 1893 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.431.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%1.991.91
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.33
First team to scoreFC Thun to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓35%2.90–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Thun / FT FC Thun ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.51–

Recent results

FC Thun – last 6

WWLLDL
5 Novvs Heart Of Midlothian3–1W
1 Nov@ Lausanne5–4W
25 Octvs FC Lugano2–3L
22 Octvs HNK Hajduk Split0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Schaffhausen1–1D
15 Oct@ Twente0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FC Basel 1893 – last 6

LDWLLL
1 Nov@ FC Lugano1–2L
25 Octvs Grasshoppers0–0D
16 Oct@ Stade Nyonnais3–0W
11 Oct@ FC Vaduz0–3L
3 Oct@ FC Winterthur3–7L
20 Sepvs FC ST. Gallen1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026FC Basel 1893 v FC Thun4–2
FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano131111+2134
2BSC Young Boys13841+1628
3FC Sion13823+1126
4FC ST. Gallen13715+222
5FC Zurich13634-121
6Servette FC13526+117
7FC Basel 189313436-415
8FC Thun13427-1014
9FC Luzern13346-713
10Grasshoppers13256-1311
11FC Vaduz13319-510
12Lausanne13148-117

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

On our numbers FC Thun have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Basel 1893 37%.

How many goals will there be in FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

Our predicted score is FC Thun 2–1 FC Basel 1893, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893?

FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stockhorn Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.