Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSagamihara to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceSagamihara or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Parceiro Nagano travel to face Sagamihara on Saturday 5 September in the J3 League, with Sagamihara Gion Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 10:00 WAT. In the table, Sagamihara are 3rd, among the top four, on 31 points after 16 matches; Parceiro Nagano are 10th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Sagamihara, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Jubilo Iwata, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Thespakusatsu Gunma, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sagamihara 1.8 xG, Parceiro Nagano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sagamihara 59%, draw 22%, Parceiro Nagano 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sagamihara or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sagamihara to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sagamihara 1–0 Parceiro Nagano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sagamihara59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.10
Parceiro Nagano19%fair 5.16 · @4.20
2.75Expected goals
1.82Sagamihara xG
0.93Parceiro Nagano xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sagamihara 1.8 – 0.9 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagamihara to win✗
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Sagamihara or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Sagamihara (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Parceiro Nagano +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Sagamihara to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Sagamihara ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagamihara / FT Sagamihara✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
Sagamihara – last 6
LLWWDW
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Thespakusatsu Gunma
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs Roasso Kumamoto
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Roasso Kumamoto
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parceiro Nagano – last 6
LLWWLW
30 Aug
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1–2
L
26 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
22 Aug
@ Roasso Kumamoto
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Fukui United
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Osaka
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagamihara and Parceiro Nagano.
What is the prediction for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Sagamihara to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Sagamihara have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Parceiro Nagano 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Sagamihara 1–0 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano?
Sagamihara vs Parceiro Nagano (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sagamihara Gion Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
