Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Saturday 5 September: Matsumoto Yamaga v Osaka in the J3 League, played at Sunpro Alwin. In the table, Matsumoto Yamaga are 15th, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Osaka are 6th (upper half) with 29. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kitakyushu, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Osaka, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Ventforet Kofu, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Osaka, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Matsumoto Yamaga.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 xG, Osaka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 42%, draw 23%, Osaka 35%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Osaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Matsumoto Yamaga42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Osaka35%fair 2.84 · @3.00
2.88Expected goals
1.52Matsumoto Yamaga xG
1.36Osaka xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 1.5 – 1.4 Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Matsumoto Yamaga to win✗
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.75
Draw no bet
Matsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Osaka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Matsumoto Yamaga to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6
DDLDWL
30 Aug
@ Kitakyushu
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Ehime FC
2–2
D
16 Aug
vs Biwako Shiga
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Kochi United
0–0
D
25 Jul
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Nara Club
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Osaka – last 6
WDDDWW
2 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Shimizu S-pulse
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs FC Ryukyu
2–2
D
19 Aug
@ Nara Club
4–1
W
16 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Matsumoto Yamaga and Osaka.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Osaka 35%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 1–1 Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Osaka (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
