Value bet: Roasso Kumamoto to win @ 2.45 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoasso Kumamoto to win ✓46% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 8.79
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 26 September the J3 League brings Thespakusatsu Gunma against Roasso Kumamoto at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma. Kick-off: 09:00 WAT. In the table, Thespakusatsu Gunma are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Roasso Kumamoto are 8th (upper half) with 24.
Current form
Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kochi United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Matsumoto Yamaga, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Roasso Kumamoto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.1 xG, Roasso Kumamoto 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thespakusatsu Gunma 33%, draw 22%, Roasso Kumamoto 46%.
Price worth noting: Roasso Kumamoto to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thespakusatsu Gunma33%fair 3.04 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
Roasso Kumamoto46%fair 2.19 · @2.45
2.50Expected goals
1.12Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
1.38Roasso Kumamoto xG
46%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.1 – 1.4 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roasso Kumamoto to win✓
46%
2.19
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Roasso Kumamoto (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Thespakusatsu Gunma +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Roasso Kumamoto to score first✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roasso Kumamoto / FT Roasso Kumamoto✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
8.79
–
Recent results
Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6
WLLLWL
19 Sep
vs Kochi United
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Fukushima United
1–3
L
2 Sep
vs Albirex Niigata
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Parceiro Nagano
2–1
W
26 Aug
@ Tokyo Verdy
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
DWDWWL
18 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Fukushima United
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Nara Club
2–2
D
2 Sep
vs Oita Trinita
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kochi United
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Parceiro Nagano
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Roasso Kumamoto.
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roasso Kumamoto 46%.
How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Roasso Kumamoto (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
