Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.02
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Renofa Yamaguchi welcome Sagamihara to Ishin Me-Life Stadium for a J3 League fixture on Saturday 26 September (06:00 WAT). In the table, Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Sagamihara are 3rd (among the top four) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kanazawa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sagamihara, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kitakyushu, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Sagamihara.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renofa Yamaguchi 1.6 xG, Sagamihara 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renofa Yamaguchi 57%, draw 19%, Sagamihara 24%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Renofa Yamaguchi to win (57%, odds 1.90 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Sagamihara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renofa Yamaguchi57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.40
Sagamihara24%fair 4.13 · @3.30
2.58Expected goals
1.64Renofa Yamaguchi xG
0.94Sagamihara xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Renofa Yamaguchi 1.6 – 0.9 Sagamihara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✗
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Renofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Sagamihara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Renofa Yamaguchi to score first✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Recent results
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
WWWLDL
20 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Osaka
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Nara Club
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sagamihara – last 6
LWDLLW
20 Sep
vs Kitakyushu
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
2 Sep
vs Jubilo Iwata
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ FC Ryukyu
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Kanazawa
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renofa Yamaguchi and Sagamihara.
What is the prediction for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Our pick is Renofa Yamaguchi to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
On our numbers Renofa Yamaguchi have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sagamihara 24%.
How many goals will there be in Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Our predicted score is Renofa Yamaguchi 1–0 Sagamihara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara?
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagamihara (J3 League) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
