Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tochigi SC welcome Renofa Yamaguchi to Kanseki Stadium Tochigi for a J3 League fixture on Sunday 11 October (06:00 WAT). In the table, Tochigi SC are 12th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Renofa Yamaguchi are 5th (upper half) with 30.
Current form
Tochigi SC, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kamatamare Sanuki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Renofa Yamaguchi, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Gifu, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Renofa Yamaguchi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Tochigi SC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.2 xG, Renofa Yamaguchi 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 35%, draw 23%, Renofa Yamaguchi 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tochigi SC35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90
Renofa Yamaguchi42%fair 2.41 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.18Tochigi SC xG
1.32Renofa Yamaguchi xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.2 – 1.3 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Renofa Yamaguchi to win✓
42%
2.41
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Renofa Yamaguchi (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Tochigi SC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Renofa Yamaguchi to score first✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Renofa Yamaguchi / FT Renofa Yamaguchi✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Recent results
Tochigi SC – last 6
DLLDLW
4 Oct
@ Kamatamare Sanuki
0–0
D
26 Sep
vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Kagoshima United
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Parceiro Nagano
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Montedio Yamagata
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Kochi United
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6
WDWWWL
3 Oct
@ FC Gifu
2–0
W
26 Sep
vs Sagamihara
2–2
D
20 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–1
W
12 Sep
vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Gainare Tottori
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tochigi SC and Renofa Yamaguchi.
What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Renofa Yamaguchi 42%.
How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi?
Tochigi SC vs Renofa Yamaguchi (J3 League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
